no way Pokemon Legends: ZA The player caught the Charmander version, which has a spawn probability of 0.000122%. That means the odds are 1 in 819, 672. Pokemon Gold and Silver For context, the concept of Shiny Pokemon was introduced in 2000. Here, the odds of a wild encounter being sparkly were 1 in 8,192. In other words, this Charmander Pokemon Legends: ZA I think they were 100 times more rare than SHINee back then.
Shinies have come a long way since then. Pokemon Legends: ZA and other pokemon Games as opposed to pure luck are becoming more and more common. Spawn probabilities have been adjusted over the years, things like Shiny Charms have made them easier to find, various reset methods, etc. have made Shiny Pokemon more options rather than just being random, amazing high-end Pokemon. Nonetheless, Shiny Alpha Female Charmander (and Charizard) are certainly very rare luxury Pokémon.
A screenshot shared by Reddit user BASEERNINJA shows this beautiful Pokémon in the wild and later in a party. There are plenty of jokes about the possibility of Shiny Alpha Female Charmander becoming Shiny Alpha Female Charizard, but there's also a crack at math and probability. Assume the Redditor has: Pokemon Legends: ZAThe Shiny Charm is 1/1024, the Alpha is 1/20, the female Charmman is 1/8, and the Charmman spawn itself is 1/10, meaning there are two potential spawns. That means the odds of finding this particular Charman in the wild are 1 in 819,672.
Probability of finding a shining alpha female charmman in the wild
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Shiny: 1/1024 (including Shiny charm)
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Alpha: 1/20
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Female: 1/8
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Charmander spawn: 1/10
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+2 potential spawns
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= 1 of 819, 672 or .000122%
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H/T Redditor PlanGoneAwry
Oh, and to make it even more special, BASEERNINJA caught this Charmander with a Moon Ball. I think I was trying to save it and use it. Pokemon Legends: ZAI definitely caught it using the save and reset glow hunting method, but according to the Redditor, I was successful on the first try. If nothing else, it's adjustments like these that ensure Shiny Pokemon remain special and in the hearts of fans around the world.
Over time, Shiny Pokemon have become increasingly common, and it is also possible to complete a living Shiny Pokedex in games such as: Scarlett and Violet. Even if this is technically possible, it's a far cry from what previous games have achieved. Nevertheless, the introduction of alpha Pokemon and other parameters ensures that there will always be a way to encounter really rare and really cool Pokemon.

- released
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October 16, 2025
- ESRB
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Anyone over 10 years old / fantasy violence, in-game purchases

